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AI futures — full evidence index

July 8, 2026

Main forecast · All numbers · p(doom) index · Simulator

Unified evidence hub: extinction nodes (N1–12) via p(doom) index · flourishing (U1–U7) · parallel spines (X3–X7) below.

Per-event p_cumulative values feed ai-futures-sim (config/events.yaml).


Headline partition (emergent from sim)

RegionPoint
Doom~17%
Utopia~13%
Friction~65%
Severe~5%

Full numbers & reproduce commands


Parallel spines (X3–X7)

IDTopicEvidence
X3LAWS & battlefieldEN · 中文
X4Education & reskillingEN · 中文
X5US admin & electionsEN · 中文
X6Science enablersEN · 中文
X7UBI / SWF variantsEN · 中文

Flourishing paths (U1–U7)

IDTopicEvidence
U1Alignment & symbiosisEN · 中文
U2DistributionEN · 中文
U3Science abundanceEN · 中文
U4Deployment & welfareEN · 中文
U5Governance golden ageEN · 中文
U6Multilateral beneficial AIEN · 中文
U7Meaning institutionsEN · 中文